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2009 Vol. 73(1) 119-135

Editor:
John A. Palmer, Ph.D.
Copyright: 
Parapsychology Press

Citation

Palmer, J. (Article). (2009). Decision Augmentation in a Computer Guessing Task. Journal of Parapsychology, 73(1), 119-135.

Article

Decision Augmentation in a Computer Guessing Task

John Palmer

Several psi and nonpsi hypotheses were tested in a computer guessing task. Participants (Ps) were 64 volunteers, 32 self-described strong believers in the paranormal and 32 self-described strong nonbelievers. Ps guessed sequences of the numbers 1–4 by calling each guess out loud and simultaneously clicking the mouse to register the response. In the 1st 2 runs, the target sequence reflected either pure repetition avoidance or pure counting, e.g., 2,3,4,1,2,3,4,1,2…. After Run 2, Ps completed psychological tests while the experimenter calculated their response bias in the preceding 2 runs. The 100 scored targets for Run 3 were random, except that every time P clicked the mouse when a computer address registered a 1 (1- state), which occurred randomly 20% of the time, they would receive a target for the next trial that matched their response bias in the preceding 2 runs, increasing the chances of a hit. As predicted from May’s decision augmentation theory, in Run 3 believers clicked the mouse significantly more frequently than chance when the computer was in the 1-state, and significantly more often than nonbelievers. Both random and total hits in Run 3 were positively and significantly correlated with scores on the AT-20 test of tolerance for ambiguity.

Keywords:

precognition, psychokinesis, decision augmentation, belief in the paranormal, tolerance of ambiguity

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